June 19, 2020

It’s Early, But Trump Sure Looks Like He’s In Trouble

Joe Biden has a big lead over Donald Trump in the national polls right now, but we political sophisticates all know that what really matters is the Electoral College. I haven’t been paying much attention to this because it’s still too early for polls to be very meaningful, but I got curious anyway and hopped over to 538 to get the straight dope. Here it is:

The “blue wall” of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, which doomed Hillary Clinton in 2016, now appears to be pretty rock solid again. Even Ohio and Georgia look winnable for Biden.

It’s still too early to take this too seriously. Trump hasn’t started campaigning in earnest, and neither has Biden. Plus, you know, stuff might happen between now and November. Still, things are not looking too good for Trump right now. Tentatively, then, hooray!

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AN IMPORTANT UPDATE

We’re falling behind our online fundraising goals and we can’t sustain coming up short on donations month after month. Perhaps you’ve heard? It is impossibly hard in the news business right now, with layoffs intensifying and fancy new startups and funding going kaput.

The crisis facing journalism and democracy isn’t going away anytime soon. And neither is Mother Jones, our readers, or our unique way of doing in-depth reporting that exists to bring about change.

Which is exactly why, despite the challenges we face, we just took a big gulp and joined forces with the Center for Investigative Reporting, a team of ace journalists who create the amazing podcast and public radio show Reveal.

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