Here’s Who’s Leading in the Final Iowa Polls

The Iowa caucus is on Monday, so let’s take a look at the very last of the—well, hold on. Let’s take a look at the weather forecast first:

Chilly! The caucuses are held in the evening, so ignore the balmy 33° daytime forecast. It’s gonna be freezing weather with snow showers. And now, here are the final poll numbers, courtesy of Real Clear Politics:

You can see the much-discussed Sanders surge over the past week, along with slumps from both Warren and Buttigieg. But keep an eye on all those folks below 10 percent. If they stay below 15 percent in the first round of voting, their votes will then get parceled out among the big four in the second round. So who’s most likely to pick up the votes from disappointed Klobuchar, Yang, and Steyer voters? That’s an excellent question, and I don’t know. But I suppose the conventional wisdom says the Klobuchar folks are most likely to switch to Biden. As for the Yang and Steyer voters, who knows?

Anyway, the voting starts at 7 pm Central time and should finish by around 8 pm. Tick tick tick.

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Minority rule, corruption, disinformation, attacks on those who dare tell the truth: There is a direct line from what's happening in Russia and Ukraine to what's happening here at home. And that's what MoJo's Monika Bauerlein writes about in "Their Fight Is Our Fight" to unpack the information war we find ourselves in and share a few examples to show why the power of independent, reader-supported journalism is such a threat to authoritarians.

Corrupt leaders the world over can (and will) try to shut down the truth, but when the truth has millions of people on its side, you can't keep it down for good. And there's no more powerful or urgent argument for your support of Mother Jones' journalism right now than that. We need to raise about $450,000 to hit our online fundraising budget in these next few months, so please read more from Monika and pitch in if you can.

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