My Supreme Court Prediction

Crystal ball: SIPA Asia; Collins: Bill Clark/Congressional Quarterly/Newscom via ZUMA

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I would like to make a prediction:

  • Donald Trump will nominate a Supreme Court justice who is very plainly a vote to overturn Roe v. Wade.
  • Susan Collins will announce that she needs to take a careful look at Trump’s choice.
  • She will spend an hour with the nominee, who will assure her of undying respect for stare decisis.
  • Collins will declare herself satisfied and vote to confirm.
  • A year from now the Supreme Court will accept a new abortion case. Six months later it will issue a 5-4 decision overturning Roe v. Wade.
  • Collins will announce that she’s disappointed.

This isn’t much of a prediction, since pretty much everyone seems to agree that this is what will happen. However, I want to make it public to help run up my score in the year-end predictions horserace.

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FACT:

Mother Jones was founded as a nonprofit in 1976 because we knew corporations and the wealthy wouldn't fund the type of hard-hitting journalism we set out to do.

Today, reader support makes up about two-thirds of our budget, allows us to dig deep on stories that matter, and lets us keep our reporting free for everyone. If you value what you get from Mother Jones, please join us with a tax-deductible donation today so we can keep on doing the type of journalism 2020 demands.

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