White Men Liked Mitt Romney Better Than Donald Trump

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Here’s a fascinating comparison of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections via Stuart Stevens. I’m not sure what the source is—someone’s PowerPoint presentation, perhaps—but I assume the data was transcribed correctly. Here it is:

This is based on one poll, and it’s pre-convention. Still, it sure explodes a lot of myths about Donald Trump. He’s doing worse among white men than Mitt Romney and much worse among white women. He’s doing slightly better among the middle-aged, but far worse among the elderly. And he’s doing better among blacks.

On the non-surprising front, he’s doing far worse among Latinos. Obama won them by 44 percent, while Clinton is winning them by 62 points. I wonder why?

This doesn’t show how Trump is doing specifically among blue-collar white men (those with no more than a high school diploma), but I wonder if he’s really as popular among this demographic as everyone thinks? Or, in the end, is he just going to perform in a pretty standard Republican way, but just a bit worse?

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Today, reader support makes up about two-thirds of our budget, allows us to dig deep on stories that matter, and lets us keep our reporting free for everyone. If you value what you get from Mother Jones, please join us with a tax-deductible donation today so we can keep on doing the type of journalism 2020 demands.

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