June 12, 2012

My Crystal Ball for Politics in 2024

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The journal Democracy has put together a package of short essays for its latest issue about the likely face of American politics in 2024. Most of the contributors focused on one or two big trends and how they’re likely to play out over the next dozen years, but I took a different tack. Instead I identified six big trends: 

  1. America will keep getting older.
  2. If Obamacare survives the Supreme Court, the social welfare state of FDR and LBJ will be more or less complete.
  3. Economic growth is going to be slow.
  4. The fact of climate change will become undeniable.
  5. The Republican Party will continue getting whiter and the Democratic Party will continue getting browner.
  6. Computational horsepower will continue growing.

What does all this mean? Probably nothing good, but a bleak outcome isn’t inevitable. Click the link to read my guesses.

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Our team has been on fire lately—publishing sweeping, one-of-a-kind investigations, ambitious, groundbreaking projects, and even releasing “the holy shit documentary of the year.” And that’s on top of protecting free and fair elections and standing up to bullies and BS when others in the media don’t.

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